Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.655994 6.240872 6.864708 7.580394 8.379737 9.246125 10.257749
2025-12-21 4.704405 5.509287 6.425860 7.550212 8.896824 10.463396 12.432015
2025-12-28 4.137461 5.096433 6.251252 7.752319 9.663461 12.030709 15.208666
2026-01-04 3.690729 4.747670 6.083361 7.909528 10.363413 13.577838 18.158521
2026-01-11 3.296009 4.401749 5.858834 7.941166 10.875967 14.917383 20.995728
2026-01-18 2.944680 4.063237 5.592275 7.864645 11.206354 16.019615 23.622409
2026-01-25 2.646156 3.758887 5.330521 7.749756 11.446975 16.995143 26.163331
2026-02-01 2.394440 3.491507 5.087519 7.624185 11.640026 17.898838 28.685451
2026-02-08 2.179091 3.254115 4.860875 7.490863 11.792486 18.737235 31.187864
2026-02-15 2.013429 3.074754 4.701902 7.440514 12.061176 19.777436 34.149036
2026-02-22 1.914650 2.988957 4.677847 7.600024 12.685616 21.471342 38.478415
2026-03-01 1.786291 2.843725 4.543726 7.558958 12.955284 22.569271 41.847628
2026-03-08 1.641690 2.662627 4.339340 7.384708 12.983600 23.260098 44.587349
2026-03-15 1.535495 2.536915 4.216919 7.341684 13.244254 24.409771 48.407893
2026-03-22 1.477974 2.489158 4.223431 7.530186 13.956548 26.505835 54.500781
2026-03-29 1.418710 2.433114 4.209755 7.678415 14.605505 28.553837 60.814650
2026-04-05 1.346921 2.348754 4.137501 7.706921 15.017573 30.165321 66.409484
2026-04-12 1.267237 2.243754 4.018417 7.631799 15.207692 31.328621 71.147636
2026-04-19 1.189830 2.137103 3.887533 7.520103 15.307286 32.304080 75.587502
2026-04-26 1.117819 2.035322 3.757880 7.398353 15.370804 33.203808 79.982400
2026-05-03 1.050909 1.938533 3.630467 7.269247 15.403340 34.034205 84.334056
2026-05-10 0.998331 1.865820 3.544888 7.220466 15.610165 35.297101 90.044029
2026-05-17 0.971227 1.841197 3.553389 7.374706 16.299298 37.807800 99.616527